Saturday, July 28, 2012

Trading Ideas 7-28-12

We had a market rally on Friday but I would still be careful not to go long on any positions for more than a day or two.  Although the bulls have most of the strength overall any unsettling news could derail this rally fast (as we have seen before).  I missed getting into a position on GE and WMT but I didn’t feel comfortable getting in when WMT is reaching all time highs.  You don’t know when it will turn around on you.  As I pointed out before analysts are looking at WMT getting to $79 so we’ll see if that holds up.  I will definitely get in on a pull back next time now that we have tested these new highs.

This is what I had mentioned before about GE.  If you look at how it has been tested over these past couple weeks and it still charges back up despite market news, you can feel comfortable about getting into a position.  I saw a profile description yesterday on one of the day traders I’m following on Twitter. His philosophy was spot on…

”My trading approach is technical focusing on stocks that are trending and have a catalyst behind their movement.”  

It is very important to keep this in mind when choosing a stock to trade. The technical setup will tell you when to get into the trade but if there is no trend then the stock can go either way…”the trend is your friend.”  If there is no catalyst or reason for the stock to move higher like analyst expectations, growth in the sector, or a new product release, then the movement in the stock won’t be strong enough to make a profit.  Lastly, I would like to add one more piece to his philosophy: the fundamental analysis.  The stock has to be undervalued for it to be a good buy.  Just like you buy clothes or food on sale, if a stock is on sale people will be more inclined to buy it. 

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