Monday, September 29, 2014

Trading Strategy – Cash Secured Puts

After setting up my new trade strategy over the past couple of weeks I realized that buying the stocks is like buying a car.  Why own the car and deal with all the headache of getting it fixed and replacing parts when you can lease for a cheaper price and get a nicer car.  The correlation is similar to stocks versus options.  If you can trade options and get better leverage, i.e. make more money, why buy the stock that has inherent risks of losing value?

I started out trading options but never really appreciated the seller’s side of the option chain.  If you become the seller you net your premium and then wait for the trade to play out.  I always like getting my money up front.  In any deal if you can get paid first before the actual transaction you are headed in the right direction. 




The trades I am making now are selling cash secured puts.  This is probably the safest option trade.  The only potential loss you have is by being assigned the stocks at a low price at expiration.  But if you traded on a decent stock, why wouldn’t you want that stock at a discount? Other than this you are net positive because you got your money up front as the seller of the put option.

As with any trade you have to make a smart decision about where and when to sell and where and when buy.  But if you are good at technical analysis then you should be OK if you keep your trades farther out of the money.  The key is to check the support and resistance lines to make sure your strike price is beyond that and then you will more than likely be OK.

More info on cash secured puts:



Selling Cash Covered Put Options



Here are some great videos that explain credit spreads which are the other safe play that I may be getting into soon.



Credit Spread Option Trading Strategies part 1







Credit Spread Option Trading Strategies part 2




Market Conditions 9-29-14

Today’s market was crazy and I hope everyone has survived with some dignity left.  I have been revamping my strategy over the past couple weeks and haven’t been posting as much.  I fortunately got out of my Ford trade last week to initiate my new trading strategy.  As providence would have it, I got out just in time. 

I started to advocate selling covered calls for safe extra income but after I started learning how to sell cash secured puts and credit spreads, I no longer feel that covered calls are the best option trade.  The problem with covered calls and especially in a market that has become volatile, is that your money is tied up in a security that may lose value while you wait for the expiration of the option.  If you sell a cash secured put you keep your money safe in your account while you wait for expiration.




What happened to Ford today was a confirmation of that fact.  I had initially planned to hold Ford until the October 18th expiration of one of my covered calls.  After learning about selling cash secured puts I liquidated my Ford position and started selling a few out of the money puts on some volatile bio tech stocks.  If I get assigned the shares at the end of expiration I will have bought the stock at an extreme low which is not a bad situation because the stock will most likely rebound.  If I am able to wait till expiration then I will keep the entire premium.


This is my new strategy now and I will provide more details as my trade develops.  In the meantime it is important in this market with its new found volatility, to keep as much cash as possible and to enter options trades without owning the underlying stock.  Credit spreads are probably the best plays in this market.


Thursday, September 18, 2014

Alibaba IPO

It's a staple of China's internet economy. It is Paypal, Amazon, Linked In, Youtube, Twitter and a bunch of other companies all rolled into one in a country of a billion people. Now it's making a play for the international market namely the U.S... will it continue to grow? Will a billion people make more people...uh yes. Market movement is not absolute but population growth is.







Alibaba may have a rocky start, we all know how IPOs are...chaos... it may fluctuate for a day, 3 days, a week, a month...but like Facebook who had a horrible IPO it recovered and kept moving up...yes it is a guess but it's not about will it go up but when.



REITS Are Taking Heat

I quit while I was ahead.  I got out of CYS as well.  The REIT sector is taking a hit and even though the dividend yield is enticing I don’t know how they will sustain it going forward.  If it starts to make a recovery I will re-examine it, but for now I will stick to my covered call strategy to reap the “dividends” I’m looking for.




Here’s another article about the drop in the REIT market:





Quick Tip

I would highly recommend picking up some more TSLA stock especially after it dropped in price and after Elon Musk’s Space X just got part of a $7 billion bid from NASA. I got some more yesterday. This has been the best performing stock in my portfolio.



Selling Covered Calls For Extra Income

As the saying goes, “When you know better, you do better.”  I have changed up my strategy after watching what was going on with ARR.  I was a champion for this stock for months because I felt that it was eventually going to go back up to its $7-$9 price range.  Well you can’t wish something to happen, there has to be concrete steps and data to follow it up.  ARR never improved its financials and consequently the value of the stock stayed stagnant even when comparable stocks were rising. 




After a conversation with a friend of mine I realized that a safer and possibly more lucrative strategy would be better.  If you buy a well-known blue chip stock with sound financials that has enough volume, you can sell covered calls each month for steady income, much like the dividends I was seeking with ARR.  My own personal requirement was to find a stock that was trading below $20 so I could load up on it to have enough to buy at least 200 shares.  As you know (if you have traded options before) you have to have at least 100 shares to buy or sell 1 options contract.  To make the minimal return that I want to make I need to sell at least 2 options contracts.  The stock I chose was Ford (F).

Here is some more information on covered calls.  Many of the people and sites I’ve come across go into a lot of detail about covered calls but just know it’s not as complex as a lot of people make it seem.





Alan Ellman - The Blue Collar Investor
Monthly Income From Covered Calls



If you look at the Bid price, that’s what you will be selling your call at.  Just remember that the Ask price is what you will be buying your call back at if you choose to buy it back (you will do this if you want to keep holding your shares and don’t want to be assigned at expiration).  To make any money you want the Ask price to keep getting lower so you can buy the options back for a price cheaper than you sold them for (buy low, sell high).  Either way if you sell a call at a strike price higher than the price you bought the stock (out of the money), then you have already made your money so you can just sit back and wait for expiration (always factor in fees and commissions).

Always buy the next month’s option because you want enough movement to occur in the time value of the stock.  Some people trade the weekly options.  I haven’t tried that yet but I may.

If you are new to covered calls, after you watch some of the videos and read some of the information on the links I posted, all of what I just said will make more sense and hopefully will simplify what you have learned.

Let me know how your trading goes by leaving a comment and if you have any other ideas I would love to hear them.


Saturday, September 13, 2014

Apple is a Buy

Back when Apple was in the 400s I wanted to buy but it would have used up a lot of my investment money.  Now that it is trading around 100 (after the stock split) I am jumping in.  This is a great opportunity for the small investor to get in on a stock that is only going up.  Because of its consistent innovation and its entrenched following in the marketplace, Apple is a bulwark stock that will bolster any portfolio.  Now with the Apple Pay announcement, Apple is poised to take a commanding lead in the smartphone market.  I don’t even own an iphone, but I own Apple stock.  

Friday, September 12, 2014

I’m Changing My Tune On ARR and Singing CYS

Alright I have finally been convinced…a friend of mine has talked some sense into me about ARR. I have been championing this stock for a while now because of its fantastic monthly dividend.  Well things have changed and the performance of the stock over the past year has been lackluster compared to other comparable stocks.  I also own CYS and it has completely outperformed ARR over the past year.  I did some more research and the company is sound.  It only invests in real estate that is backed by government lenders like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the company is run by a former investment strategist.  Having a company run by someone who understands things from an investor perspective makes me feel more secure because it makes him more cognizant of market considerations.





Also the website of the company is a bit more professional and there is more information about the company and its strategy than there is on ARR’s website. 

The downside with CYS is the fact that they pay quarterly and the dividend yield is 2 percent less than ARR.  Even still you are making around the same amount of money.

Overall I think CYS is a better investment because of its consistent equity growth versus ARR’s poor equity performance over the past year.  Even if ARR rebounds CYS will already be ahead.